# Ga-wha?

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Despite that I never like picking teams that have played seven games against teams that won in a sweep, I would totally have called Hershey vs. WBS (or Hershey vs. Bridgeport) a tossup, just like BPT-WBS was.

So this all, from afar, amazes me. Almost confounds me.

Meantime across the pond, the US won again, as did Finland over Latvia. The Americans and the Canadians meet Tuesday for first place in the pool. (Tie goes to Canada on goal differential.) There’s also a feature on the site about Sean Bergenheim, headlined “Finland’s Bergenheim finally burying his chances.” Bad timing alert: Bergenheim had no shots today. Oh well. I was momentarily impressed that the writer — no byline — had gotten hold of Dave Baseggio. Then I read the quote, which seemed awfully familiar. With good reason… it’s Dave’s quote in my story from Feb. 22, the night Sean scored four goals against Hartford. Cool…

Edit on second thought, re HER-WBS… why not go back to what I was thinking before Game 3 at Bridgeport?* Flip the coin three times. One out of four times, it’ll come up the same way all three times; one of eight times, it’ll be all tails.

Or, let’s even use some fake math. Take WBS’s and Hershey’s overall home and road records and turn them into one number: Hershey should win about .428 of the time at Wachovia, and about .522 of the time at Giant Center**. The Bears win the first two on the road about .183 of the time (.428x.428); they take the first three about 9.6 percent of the time (.428x.428x.522=.0956).

The math might be fake, but assuming they’re relatively evenly matched — sometimes, even if not — someone’s gonna sweep by accident sometimes. The good news for the Penguins? They’ll win the next four games by accident about 7.4 percent of the time.

(That it’s happening in Houston-Milwaukee too? That’s just weird.)

*-Pre-concussion, dontcha know. Took me a while to remember.
**-The big difference is the road record; the Pens’ was notably better than the Bears’.

Categories: General
Michael Fornabaio

## 6 Responses

1. Anonymous says:

are you still around??? its been 4 days!!

2. Lori says:

Well, WBS’s season is officially over. They were swept by Hershey tonight.

3. dist1ump says:

Any truth to the rumor that Rob Collins is going to be playing in Germany?

4. stan says:

Mike, I was doing some looking on the archives and found that my 1st post was Sept 28th! Wow, does time go by!!!! amazing

5. Lori says:

A handful of us Bridgeport faithful made the trek to WBS on Saturday because we weren’t ready for hockey season to end and we were hoping for a thrilling game only to be let down by the Penguins falling apart. The Penguins were not playing like they did against us. Too many hotheads on the Penguins as of late and they were definitely frustrated and taking too many stupid and blatant penalties. Hershey kept their cool and played their game.

The highlight of the game was in the 3rd period when good ole Louis Robitallie of Hershey started mocking the Pens fans by pointing to the crest of his jersey(after getting whaled on by Bonvie and drawing 7 minutes of penalties) and blowing kisses to the crowd and giving a not so discreet finger gesture at his temple when fans booed him and then the unthinkable by Daniel Carcillo who decides to grab himself somewhere for several minutes and gets a 10 misconduct for his antics and for not listening to ref who told him to get on the bench and he refused.

The Penguins are definitely not playing like they want to advance to the next round let alone the Calder Cup. At this point, I wouldn’t be surprised if Hershey does sweep WBS.

How are you feeling Mike? Hope you are resting up and taking care of yourself.

6. deerville, PA says:

It’s kind of strange that Hershey is blowing away WBS. Would we even had a shot? I think so, our guys would have started to click more. Did anyone go to the BIG SALE yesterday at Harbour Yard?