Week 7 is just about the time to start to seriously keep an eye on the playoff races. The state races have still a ways to go before we can truly look at scenarios. But it’s not too early with the league championship games, at least in an overview. don’t expect anything too specific.
Here we go.
New Canaan, Staples and Darien are in the driver’s seat. One team will get bumped down with the conclusion of this week’s mega-match in Westport.
New Canaan has games with big point potentials in the coming weeks. The Rams round out their FCIAC regular season vs. Wilton (3 FCIAC wins), vs. Stamford (3 wins), vs. Trumbull (2 wins). They’ll clinch if they win out.
Staples or Darien can pick up a ton of points with a win on Saturday, so the victor will be in great shape if it wins out.
After Darien, Staples wraps up with Warde (3 wins) and Westhill (0 wins). After Staples, Darien wraps up with Trinity Catholic (2 wins) and Bassick (0 wins).
Greenwich will likely need some help. The Cards wrap with Westhill (0 wins, McMahon (3 wins) and Danbury (2 wins) Even if it finishes the season unbeaten in the FCIAC, it would only get in if they are one of two unbeaten teams remaining after Week 9.
The FCIAC Championship game will be held Friday, Nov. 18 at Trumbull’s McDougall Field, 7:30 p.m.
Note: To the uninitiated, these are “FCIAC” playoff points. Not CIAC playoff points. Only FCIAC games count.
It’s a little more clear-cut. The top-two records get in. Only if there’s a tie will things get slightly messy.
Masuk and Bunnell are the league’s only remaining unbeaten teams. If they win out, they will face each other at Bunnell on Nov. 17 for the title.
Newtown’s only realistic shot is to beat Brookfield this weekend, and then beat Bunnell on Nov. 9. That would drop Bunnell to one loss and Newtown holding the head-to-head tiebreaker.
If Brookfield defeats Newtown this weeked, the race is all but over. That would give Newtown two league losses. Bunnell, holding a tiebreaker over Pomperaug, would qualify if it wins out.
Pomperaug‘s only realistic chance is to win out, and that includes beating Masuk. That would at least force a three-way tie and the playoff points would be in their favor.
The SWC Championship will be held Thursday, Nov. 17 at Bunnell, 7 p.m.
Thankfully, the league came to its senses and made head-to-head the first tiebreaker in determining division champions. Last year’s controversy was silly and unnecessary.
So, it’s quite simple nowadays.
In the Brass Division, Wolcott is the only thing standing between Ansonia and a division clinch. The teams play next week. Ansonia can start printing NVL title tickets with a victory there.
The Copper Division is slightly more muddled, but not by much.
Holy Cross controls its own destiny.
The Crusaders wrap up the season with games against Sacred Heart, Woodland and St. Paul. They already own the tiebreaker over Torrington and, with a victory over Woodland next week, would be the likely division champion.
Torrington and Woodland need help.
Torrington finishes division play with Kennedy and Sacred Heart.
Woodland finishes division play with Naugatuck, Holy Cross.
A Woodland win over Holy Cross could set up a three-way tiebreaker for the division title. We assume that would be broken by overall NVL record. But we’re not sure yet. Anyone from the NVL feel free to chime in here.
The NVL title game is Thursday, Nov. 17 at Municipal Stadium, 6:30 p.m.
CIAC Playoff Points
And, in the interest of keeping everyone up-do-date on statewide happenings, here’s how the state playoff races are shaping up.
If the playoffs started today:
- CLASS LL: No. 8 West Haven at No. 1 Xavier | No. 7 Norwalk at No. 2 Conard | No. 6 Glastonbury at No. 3 Staples | No. 5 Pomperaug at No. 4 Norwich Free Academy
- CLASS L: No. 8 Coventry/Windham Tech at No. 1 Windsor | No. 7 Farmington at No. 1 Hand | No. 6 Darien at No. 3 Bunnell | No. 5 New London at No. 4 New Canaan.
No, there’s no Masuk out there. Masuk is biding its time at the No. 9 spot. But rest assured, if Masuk finishes unbeaten, it will get in. One loss would be a killer. But you knew that.
- CLASS M: No. 8 Enfield at No. 1 Ansonia | No. 7 Ledyard at No. 2 Ellington/Somers | No. 6 Waterford at No. 3 Wolcott | No. 5 Berlin at No. 4 Cheney Tech.
- CLASS S: No. 8 Bloomfield at No. 1 Capital Prep/Classical | No. 7 North Branford at No. 2 Coginchaug | No. 6 Northwest Catholic at No. 3 Cromwell | No. 5 Valley Regional/Old Lyme at No. 4 Holy Cross.
Still long ways off so don’t get too crazy.