Look at the standings. Today’s game is a must-win for the Jets. The Patriots (5-2), Colts (6-0), Bengals (5-2), and Broncos (6-0) are all in first place in their respective divisions, and all have better records than the Jets (4-3). The Steelers (5-2) also have a better record than New York, and Houston has the same record. By that count, five teams are ahead of the Jets for playoff spots, and only six teams make the playoffs. You would expect Baltimore (3-3) to make a run as well, and maybe even the Chargers (3-3). The difference between being 5-3 and 4-4 is huge. You may need 11 wins to get into the playoffs. At the very least, you need 10.
That means the Jets must win today’s game against the Dolphins (2-4) at the Meadowlands. Miami has had two crushing losses this year. One to Indianapolis earlier in the season, then last week to the Saints at home, in a game where they led 24-3 in the first half, and 34-24 in the fourth quarter. How this young Dolphins’ team responds today will be interesting to see. Miami has already beaten the Jets this year, 31-27, three weeks ago on Monday Night Football. With Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams, they can run the football. They also do a great job defending against the run. Chad Henne has been surprisingly solid at quarterback.
Meanwhile, the Jets return to the field after losing Leon Washington for the season last Sunday. Two weeks ago, they lost Kris Jenkins. So the Dolphins’ two-headed rushing attack, and Wildcat offense, will go up against a defense that’s missing it’s stud nose tackle. And Thomas Jones and Shonn Greene will try to run the ball against a Miami team that is ranked fourth in the league in run defense.
But this is a must-win and it is at home, the last time these two teams will meet at Giants Stadium, unless they somehow match up here in the playoffs. The Jets will have to run the ball and they’ll have to stop Miami’s run. Easier said than done. But I’m going with New York here, keeping their playoffs hope alive with a win over their division rival. Jets 27, Dolphins 23.