Ned Lamont leads the pack in the Democratic primary race for Governor, where almost half of the voters remain undecided, and has small leads over Republican contenders, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. The poll indicates a weird male/female split in Ned’s behalf, however – 42% of men and only 18% of women favor him in the primary, but a higher % of women than men favor him in the general election 40%-36%. Ned’s trends are up, and he has benefited more that Malloy from SuBy’s drop-out from the race.
While 44 percent of Democrats remain undecided, Lamont gets 27 percent, followed by Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy with 11 percent. No other Democrat tops 5 percent, the Quinnipiac University poll finds.
On the Republican side, 59 percent are undecided, with 17 percent for former ambassador Tom Foley and 8 percent for Lt. Gov. Mike Fedele. No other Republican tops 6 percent.
In possible general election matchups:
• Lamont edges Foley 38 – 36 percent;
• Lamont tops Fedele 41 – 32 percent;
• Malloy beats Foley 37 – 33 percent;
• Malloy leads Fedele 37 – 31 percent.
Connecticut Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz tops the Democratic pack for State Attorney General with 62 percent, with 10 percent for former Democratic State Chairman George Jepson and 24 percent undecided.
Lamont gets a 35 – 21 percent favorability, as 42 percent don’t know enough about him to form an opinion.
The “don’t know enough” number for other candidates for Governor or Attorney General ranges from 59 percent to 96 percent.
School Bus Seat Belts
Connecticut voters support 73 – 20 percent proposed legislation to require seat belts on school buses in the state. Parents of public school students support the measure 73 – 22 percent. Women back it 79 – 14 percent while men support it 66 – 27 percent.
There is strong support across party lines and in every area of the state.
From January 14 – 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,594 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The survey includes 593 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points and 420 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percentage points.
Details:
1. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ned Lamont, Dan Malloy, Mary Glassman, Gary LeBeau, Rudy Marconi, Jim Amann and Juan Figueroa, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMS..
Tot Men Wom
Lamont 27% 42% 18%
Malloy 11 12 11
Glassman 4 2 6
LeBeau 2 2 1
Marconi 1 1 -
Amann 5 7 4
Figueroa 1 – 1
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 2 5
WLDN’T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2
DK/NA 44 31 51
TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ned Lamont, Dan Malloy, Mary Glassman, Gary LeBeau, Rudy Marconi, Jim Amann and Juan Figueroa, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMS…….
Jan 21 Nov 10 Feb 10
2010 2009 2009
Lamont 27 23 na
Malloy 11 9 12
Glassman 4 na na
LeBeau 2 2 na
Marconi 1 1 na
Amann 5 3 4
Figueroa 1 na na
Bysiewicz na 26 44
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 1 3
WLDN’T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2
DK/NA 44 33 36
2. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for State Attorney General
were being held today and the candidates were Susan Bysiewicz, George Jepsen and
Michael Jarjura, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMS..
Tot Men Wom
Bysiewicz 62% 59% 64%
Jepsen 10 17 5
Jarjura 3 4 3
SMONE ELSE(VOL) – 1 -
WLDN’T VOTE(VOL) – 1 -
DK/NA 24 18 28
3. (If registered Republican) If the Republican primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Tom Foley, Mike Fedele, Oz Griebel, Mark Boughton and Larry DeNardis, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPS..
Tot Men Wom
Foley 17% 18% 15%
Fedele 8 7 10
Griebel 2 3 -
Boughton 6 7 6
DeNardis 4 5 4
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2
WLDN’T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1
DK/NA 59 56 62
4. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were
Ned Lamont the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Lamont 38% 9% 74% 30% 36% 40%
Foley 36 77 10 37 44 30
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 1
WLDN’T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 3 2 3
DK/NA 21 11 14 28 17 25
5. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were
Dan Malloy the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Malloy 37% 9% 73% 27% 33% 40%
Foley 33 76 8 31 41 27
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 3 2
WLDN’T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 1 5 4 3
DK/NA 24 10 16 34 19 28
6. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were
Ned Lamont the Democrat and Mike Fedele the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Lamont 41% 11% 75% 35% 38% 43%
Fedele 32 72 9 28 39 25
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2
WLDN’T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 – 4 3 3
DK/NA 23 14 16 31 19 27
7. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were
Dan Malloy the Democrat and Mike Fedele the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Malloy 37% 8% 72% 31% 34% 41%
Fedele 31 71 8 27 37 24
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2
WLDN’T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 5 3 3
DK/NA 27 17 19 34 24 29
8. Is your opinion of – Jim Amann favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 11% 10% 16% 9% 11% 11%
Unfavorable 8 6 7 12 12 5
Hvn’t hrd enough 79 84 76 78 75 83
REFUSED 1 1 – 1 1 1
TREND: Is your opinion of – Jim Amann favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Jan 21 Nov 10 Feb 10
2010 2009 2009
Favorable 11 7 7
Unfavorable 8 8 13
Hvn’t hrd enough 79 84 79
REFUSED 1 1 1
9. Is your opinion of – Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 32% 22% 46% 29% 35% 30%
Unfavorable 7 13 3 8 9 6
Hvn’t hrd enough 59 63 49 62 55 62
REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 1
TREND: Is your opinion of – Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Jan 21 Nov 10 Feb 10
2010 2009 2009
Favorable 32 21 19
Unfavorable 7 10 11
Hvn’t hrd enough 59 67 69
REFUSED 2 2 1
10. Is your opinion of – Ned Lamont favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 35% 18% 54% 33% 38% 33%
Unfavorable 21 37 9 23 26 18
Hvn’t hrd enough 42 44 37 41 34 48
REFUSED 2 1 – 3 2 1
TREND: Is your opinion of – Ned Lamont favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Jan 21 Nov 10
2010 2009
Favorable 35 31
Unfavorable 21 24
Hvn’t hrd enough 42 43
REFUSED 2 1
11. Is your opinion of – Gary LeBeau favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4%
Unfavorable 2 4 2 2 4 1
Hvn’t hrd enough 92 92 93 91 91 93
REFUSED 1 – 1 2 1 1
TREND: Is your opinion of – Gary LeBeau favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Jan 21 Nov 10
2010 2009
Favorable 4 4
Unfavorable 2 4
Hvn’t hrd enough 92 91
REFUSED 1 1
12. Is your opinion of – Rudy Marconi favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 5% 5% 6% 4% 6% 3%
Unfavorable 2 2 3 2 3 2
Hvn’t hrd enough 92 93 90 93 90 94
REFUSED 1 – 1 1 – 1
TREND: Is your opinion of – Rudy Marconi favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Jan 21 Nov 10
2010 2009
Favorable 5 5
Unfavorable 2 3
Hvn’t hrd enough 92 92
REFUSED 1 -
13. Is your opinion of – Mary Glassman favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about her?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 8% 7% 11% 7% 7% 8%
Unfavorable 2 2 2 1 2 1
Hvn’t hrd enough 90 91 86 91 90 90
REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1
14. Is your opinion of – Juan Figueroa favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 3% 5% 4% 2% 4% 3%
Unfavorable 2 1 2 3 3 2
Hvn’t hrd enough 94 93 93 94 92 95
REFUSED 1 – 1 1 1 1
15. Is your opinion of – Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 31% 48% 21% 31% 34% 27%
Unfavorable 6 2 8 6 8 5
Hvn’t hrd enough 62 50 71 61 57 67
REFUSED 1 – 1 2 1 1
TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Jan 21 Nov 12 Sep 17 Jul 23 Apr 2
2010 2009 2009 2009 2009
Favorable 31 20 12 17 12
Unfavorable 6 6 6 5 6
Hvn’t hrd enough 62 74 81 77 80
REFUSED 1 – 1 1 1
16. Is your opinion of – Mike Fedele favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 16% 28% 8% 16% 19% 13%
Unfavorable 5 3 6 4 7 3
Hvn’t hrd enough 78 68 86 79 73 83
REFUSED 1 1 – 1 1 1
17. Is your opinion of – Larry DeNardis favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 7% 9% 5% 7% 8% 5%
Unfavorable 3 4 3 3 3 2
Hvn’t hrd enough 89 87 92 89 87 91
REFUSED 1 – – 2 1 1
18. Is your opinion of – Oz Griebel favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 1%
Unfavorable 1 1 1 1 2 1
Hvn’t hrd enough 96 96 96 95 94 97
REFUSED 1 – 1 2 1 1
19. Is your opinion of – Mark Boughton favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 7% 14% 3% 6% 10% 4%
Unfavorable 2 4 1 2 2 2
Hvn’t hrd enough 90 82 95 90 88 93
REFUSED 1 – – 1 – 1
20. Is your opinion of – Susan Bysiewicz favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about her?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 49% 30% 68% 47% 47% 51%
Unfavorable 14 23 5 14 18 9
Hvn’t hrd enough 36 46 26 37 34 38
REFUSED 1 1 – 2 1 1
TREND: Is your opinion of – Susan Bysiewicz favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about her?
Jan 21 Nov 10 Feb 10
2010 2009 2009
Favorable 49 43 40
Unfavorable 14 11 12
Hvn’t hrd enough 36 44 48
REFUSED 1 1 1
21. Is your opinion of – George Jepsen favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 14% 10% 18% 13% 17% 11%
Unfavorable 5 7 5 5 7 4
Hvn’t hrd enough 80 82 76 81 76 84
REFUSED 1 1 – 2 1 1
22. Is your opinion of – Michael Jarjura favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 13% 12% 13% 15% 14% 13%
Unfavorable 7 10 7 7 10 5
Hvn’t hrd enough 79 78 80 77 76 81
REFUSED 1 – 1 2 1 1
23. There is a proposal in the state legislature to require seat belts on school buses in Connecticut. Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea?
HvKids
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom PubSch
Good idea 73% 64% 81% 74% 66% 79% 73%
Bad idea 20 26 14 20 27 14 22
DK/NA 7 10 5 6 7 7 5