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Dave Ruden offers news, commentary and analysis on the FCIAC and local sports

Jumping to Conclusions

Sportswriters love to make predictions. Most times they are incorrect. Nowhere is the pitfalls of prognostication more evident than in early season high school football.

If you believed the experts, this was going to be the year that perennial powers Greenwich, Staples and New Canaan were going to come back to the pack, and new faces would make the jump to championship contender. This year’s darling was Norwalk.

So what happened in the opening week? Greenwich and New Canaan won by blowouts, Staples rallied to a win over Brien McMahon, and Norwalk was stunned by Fairfield Ludlowe on a last-second field goal.

The talk already has begun: Norwalk is overrated and the other three are going to be the lone players in the race for the Fairfield County Interscholastic Athletic Conference title hunt. A week from now, the outlook will probably change again.

Don’t read too much into what happened last weekend. The truth is, as much time as sportswriters spend going to scrimmages and evaluating rosters, with so much turnover if we are going to make predictions — and the belief here is making predictions on high school sports makes no sense — It is probably wise to wait two to three weeks until you can really get a real of how the playoff chase will take shape.

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