Let me start off this blog post by saying I am not a big fan of making predictions on high school sports games, mainly because the fun and discussion roused is offset often by hurt feelings. I saw it again this week: if you pick against a team, while coaches like to use it as bulletin board material, too often kids get their feelings hurt.
Too sensitive? Perhaps. I’ve just seen it a number of times so I guess it has made me gun shy over the years.
So why am I making a prediction on tonight’s FCIAC championship game between Trinity Catholic and Bridgeport Central? For one, I was asked to make picks on the four quarterfinal games in the paper so I guess I already started this. Plus, from an ego standpoint, I am 6-0 so far and want to see if I can make a perfect run and for one of the first times sound smart publicly.
Anyhow, I am not going to do a deep analysis here because I did so in today’s paper. You can read it here.
Nine days ago, before the final day of the regular season, I told people I really thought Bridgeport Central was going to win its second title in four years and I am not going to back down from that prediction.
This is going to be a close game. The Crusaders have all the pieces in place to win the title, and expect Schadrac Casimir to put the team on his back if necessary.
So why Central? For one, the Hilltoppers are much deeper. And because of that, they have a greater margin for error. One or two players — as long as one of them isn’t point guard Tyler Ancrum — can have an off day and the Hilltoppers can still operate at close to peak potential. On the other hand, if one of the Trinity so-called Big 3 — Casimir, Brandon Wheeler or Tremaine Fraiser — has a bad game, the team is in trouble.
Perhaps most importantly, Central just seems to have caught fire and is on one of those magical runs that has allowed mid-seeds to run the table and win the title.
So for that reason, the pick here is….Bridgeport Central 62, Trinity Catholic 59.