Had the opportunity to talk by phone today with Christopher Healy, chairman of the Connecticut Republicans.
Most of the conversation was about a story I’m writing regarding alleged voter fraud in Stamford. But we also chatted a little bit about the legislative races.
The GOP minority, lead by Sen. John McKinney, R-Fairfield, and Rep. Lawrence Cafero, R-Norwalk, hopes to gain significant seats despite Connecticut’s reputation as a “blue state” where Barack Obama leads.
Even when Republican Gov. M. Jodi Rell handily won re-election in 2006 her popularity did not boost her party.
But Healy believes the new voting system challenges voters to think harder about the under ticket, as opposed to voting down the party line. So an Obama lead doesn’t mean local Republican candidates will lose, Healy said.
“I would say this even if McCain were up by five points. The way we vote now, with the bubble sheets, it’s a whole different dynamic psychologically than … going to a machine and hitting the levers,” Healy said. “If our candidates are doing what they do and connecting with the voters, they should be okay. If a candidate has established a reasonable message and has met and touched that voter four or five, six or seven times, that voter has a good chance of sticking with them … I think we’re going to be very competitive.”
And what is that message?
“We know the voters need a break from … the taxation that will most assuredly come their way if the Democrats come back and control the legislature,” Healy said. “We have to paint that picture very clearly. Democrats under Christopher Donovan (the Meriden Democrat who is expected to be House Speaker if re-elected) are going to raise taxes as sure as the sun will set tonight at 6 o’clock.”
The state is facing $1 billion dollar deficits in the coming fiscal years.
Last month Sen. Majority Leader Martin Looney, D-New Haven, said no one so far is discussing tax increases. But he added “as a matter of policy we Democrats have always been in favor of having a more progressive state income tax with higher marginal tax rates . . . if indeed it became necessary to raise added revenues.”
In 2007 the Democrat-majority sought to boost income taxes on the wealthiest residents, many of whom live in lower Fairfield County, while promising to cut them for everyone else. They were thwarted in part by Stamford Democrats and Sen. Bob Duff, D-Norwalk, who said the region already gets too little in return from Hartford (and who undoubtedly feared they would turn-off some wealthier constituents and lose votes.)
A few weeks ago one of the local Democrats who did back the 2007 tax hike – Rep. Christopher Perone, D-Norwalk – told me he did not see the wisdom of increasing taxes on high-earners because they have been most impacted by the Wall Street crisis and layoffs within the financial services industry.