The state Senate in a party line vote last night approved the Democrats’ “concensus revenue forecasting” bill which, depending on whom you talk to, is either a.) the cure for future battles between the legislature and Governor over the size of the state budget deficit or b.) a transparent partisan attack on Republican Governor M. Jodi Rell and her budget staff and a distraction from the real business of addressing the fiscal crisis.
House Democrats have been relatively silent on the proposal, which now heads to that chamber for final passage.
I’m not ready to place any bets, but it seems pretty unlikely it’s going to be brought up for a vote between now and the end of the session June 3.
House Speaker Christopher Donovan, D-Meriden, would not rule it out, but neither did he appear super enthusiastic when we spoke today.
“It depends on what’s going on with negotiations with the Governor and what progress we’re making,” Donovan said.
He acknowledged the House’s Republican minority is unlikely to let the legislation pass quietly and there is less and less time in the session to waste on long debates.
“It certainly will be a talker, let me put it that way,” Donovan said. “I have to gauge that as well.”
Rep. John Geragosian, D-New Britain, the co-chairman of the legislature’s Appropriations Committee, said he would like to use concensus forecasting in future budget years.
“But I don’t know if it’s helping right now,” Geragosian said.
And Diana Urban, D-North Stonington, who has for a few years been working on new approaches to crafting the state’s budget, said although she is all for concensus forecasting she doubts it will be raised in the House.
“It should have been done in January. We can’t do it now,” Urban said. “I’m not going to say ‘no don’t do it.’ But we’re in crunch time.”
If the House doesn’t take this up, the real victim here is not the state of Connecticut, which will have to settle for an old-fashioned budget, but Jeffrey Tebbs, the Yale Law School student who had a front row seat in the Senate chamber for Thursday night’s debate.
A paper Tebbs helped author on consensus forecasting planted the seed in the Senate Democrats’ minds to pursue the policy.
Just think of the line Tebbs could use in New Haven bars this summer if the state actually adopted his proposal.
“Hey there. You know how Connecticut just became the 27th state to adopt consensus forecasting? That was all me, baby.”
UPDATE: The House DID pass the legislation over the weekend on Saturday. When I asked insiders in both the House and Senate if it was coincidence the Senate at the same time passed two health reform bills important to Speaker Donovan, I received knowing smiles.
And apparently the fact House Republicans did not feel like blowing a whole Saturday debating concensus forecasting to death helped as well.