This from the Dan Malloy camp this morning:
“So much for Ned’s poll in which he claimed to be leading by 35 points; if his poll was right and the Q-poll is right that’s an 18-point drop for him. Not great. As for the Q-Poll, in January Dan was at 11 and Ned was at 27. Today Dan’s at 24 and Ned’s at 41. That means they’ve each moved by almost the same amount. But Ned’s spent a million dollars on TV and Dan hasn’t spent a dime.
“We’ve been saying for weeks we thought he’d open up a big lead in the Q-poll, and quite frankly, given that he’s spent a million dollars on television and we haven’t spent a dime, I’m surprised Ned’s not leading by more. Given that he has this lead and all this money, I can’t understand why he has yet to accept Dan’s invitation to debate in every community in Connecticut where there’s a daily newspaper. What’s he afraid of? This campaign is only beginning, and once people start tuning in and we start spending money on television to communicate with them – and that will happen fairly soon – the polls will begin to close. We are confident that we will win this primary because people will understand that Dan has the right kind of experience to fix what’s broken in state government and put Connecticut back to work.”
Just as a quick reality check, from an MLN comment…
“GHY [Lamont's internal poll] showed Ned +9, Dan +1 from March to May (net +8 for Ned), with the poll in the field during his Glassman announcement. Q[uinnipiac] shows Ned +13, Dan +6 (net +7 for Ned) during Malloy’s post-convention media wave. It seems that the two are measuring the same underlying reality, but which has the better methodology (should you push leaners, or screen for primary voters?) is something that’s a matter of opinion. I certainly don’t have an educated opinion as to which is better (though the lack of [methodology] disclosure is why nobody FPed [i.e. published as news] the GHY polls here).”