This is the first two pages of this morning’s Quinnipiac University gubernatorial poll
CONNECTICUT GOVERNOR’S PRIMARY RACES TIGHTEN UP,
QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
DEMOCRATS’ LEAD IN NOVEMBER MATCHUPS TOPS 13 POINTS
Less than one week before the Connecticut primary, former Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy trails businessman Ned Lamont 45 – 40 percent in the race for the Democratic nomination for governor, according to a Quinnipiac University poll of Democratic likely primary voters released today.
This compares to a 46 – 37 percent Lamont lead in a July 15 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. In today’s survey, 14 percent are undecided and 43 percent of those who choose a candidate say they might change their mind before the August 10 primary.
Among Republican likely primary voters, Lt. Gov. Mike Fedele trails former ambassador Tom Foley 41 – 26 percent, surging from a 48 – 13 percent deficit July 15. Oz Griebel has 13 percent. In this fluid race, 21 percent remain undecided and 62 percent of those who choose a candidate say they might change their mind in the next six days.
“Lt. Gov. Mike Fedele is coming on very strong in these final weeks, but it may not be enough to overcome Tom Foley’s huge early lead,” said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.
“In just three weeks, Fedele has cut Foley’s lead from 35 points to 15 points. Foley’s negatives have risen, probably due in part to Fedele’s TV ads. There is still a lot of voter uncertainty in this race, but with less than a week to go, there isn’t much time left for Fedele.”
Quinnipiac University Poll/August 5, 2010 – page 2
“On the Democratic side, Dan Malloy has inched closer to Ned Lamont. Lamont still has the edge, but with 14 percent of voters undecided and 43 percent who still could change their mind, it is close enough that Malloy could pull it off,” Dr. Schwartz added.
Connecticut Republican likely primary voters give Foley a 43 – 24 percent favorability, compared to 45 – 9 percent July 15. Fedele gets a 34 – 17 percent favorability, with 45 percent who don’t know enough about him to form an opinion. This compares to a 20 – 5 percent favorability July 15, when 73 percent did not know enough about him to form an opinion.
These Republican voters say 51 – 23 percent that Foley has a better chance to win in November.
Democratic likely primary voters give Lamont a 56 – 18 percent favorability, compared to 60 – 12 percent July 15.
Malloy gets a 50 – 12 percent favorability rating, little changed from July 15.
These Democratic voters say 46 – 29 percent that Lamont has a better chance to win the general election.
Among all Connecticut voters, Lamont and Malloy lead any of the possible Republican candidates by a 13 to 25 percentage point margin, depending on the matchup:
- Lamont tops Foley 46 – 33 percent;
- Lamont over Fedele 48 – 33 percent;
- Lamont beats Griebel 50 – 27 percent;
- Malloy over Foley 46 – 31 percent;
- Malloy beats Fedele 47 – 30 percent;
- Malloy tops Griebel 50 – 25 percent.
From July 28 – August 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,299 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Also from July 29 – August 2, Quinnipiac University conducted separate surveys of 1,003 Connecticut Republican likely primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points and 979 Democratic likely primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. These likely voters were selected from lists of people who have voted in past elections.
The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.