Archive for the ‘Karl Rove’ Category

From NFL players to Karl Rove, opposition melting to same-sex marriage

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As the Supreme Court prepares to hear two momentous cases on same-sex marriage this week, opposition is evaporating. From National Football League players to Karl Rove, who said he could imagine the next GOP presidential nominee endorsing same-sex marriage, everyone seems to be coming out of the closet in favor of gays and lesbians securing the right to marry. Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill, a Democrat in a perilously swing state, is but the latest.

See the NFL player brief here. Find all the Prop. 8 amicus briefs here. And all the DOMA briefs are here. Nearly 300 businesses have weighed in, citing the cost and difficulty of DOMA’s denial of federal tax and employment benefits to married same-sex couples.

The Wall Street Journal editorial writers made their best case for standing athwart history and yelling stop, borrowing their arguments from the briefs supporting DOMA and Prop. 8. They are also attempting a counterfactual to conservative columnist George Will’s argument that DOMA should be struck down on federalism grounds, because marriage is the quintessential state domain.

The editorial writers warn ominously that if Justice Anthony Kennedy doesn’t leave things to the voters in places like Alabama and North Carolina, he will “incite another Forty Years War,” as the Roe v. Wade decision did on abortion. “A same-sex marriage ukase would achieve that rare thing, harming advocates and opponents and everyone else in between,” they declare.

David Boies, co-counsel with former Bush Solicitor General Ted Olson, who is asking for a Prop. 8 ruling that declares same-sex marriage a constitutional right, answered that the relevant political precedent is not Roe, but Loving v. Virginia. Boies said told us last week that there was “not a ripple” of opposition from states that still banned interracial marriage in 1967 when the court ruled such bans unconstitutional.

If the court rules against same-sex marriage, it remains to be seen whether conservative states mount a counter-rebellion in the face of rising GOP defections. What is clear now is that a ruling to uphold DOMA and Prop. 8 would only delay the inevitable.

California Attorney General Kamala Harris is in Washington for the arguments, having refused to defend Prop. 8. San Francisco city attorney Dennis Herrera and his legal team, partners with Boies and Olson, are also here preparing for oral arguments Tuesday. San Francisco, a co-plaintiff in the Prop. 8 case, from the outset defended former Mayor Gavin Newsom’s 2004 decision to issue marriage licenses to gay and lesbian couples, later invalidated by the California Supreme Court, which said Newsom lacked legal authority.

Spokesman Matt Dorsey called Tuesday the culmination of a “nine-year odyssey” that has seen a shift in cultural attitudes that no one could have imagined when the city filed suite in 2004 to launch “the first government challenge to anti-gay marriage laws in U.S. history.”

What’s in, what’s out in American politics, 2013 edition

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WHAT’S IN, WHAT’S OUT IN AMERICAN POLITICS, 2013
OUT IN
The fiscal cliff The debt ceiling
Bush tax cut debates Tax reform debates
Congressional dysfunction Republican civil war
Mitt Romney Paul Ryan
Hapless one-term President Barack Obama Political powerhouse Barack Obama
Sarah Palin Chris Christie
Florida Republican Allen West Florida Democrat Alan Grayson
The Gonzalez family political dynasty of San Antonio The Castro family political dynasty of San Antonio
Congressman Tim Scott Senator Tim Scott
Arizona-style immigration laws Comprehensive national immigration reform
Ron Paul Rand Paul
Karl Rove’s electoral predictions Nate Silver’s electoral predictions

Karl Rove, Dick Morris to disappear from Fox. For a while. (VIDEO)

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You won’t be seeing any more Karl Rove meltdowns or Dick Morris flat-out-wrong predictions on Fox News. For a while.

Sez New York Magazine:Fox News chief Roger “Ailes’s deputy, Fox News programming chief Bill Shine, has sent out orders mandating that producers must get permission before booking Rove or Morris.” Seems that, as a Fox spokesperson told NYM, that Shine’s message was “the election’s over.”

Apparently, their visual musk is such a powerful reminder of their Election Night failures that their airtime must be limited, or else it could induce nausea among viewers. Apparently.

Or maybe it is because it is a proven fact what a terrible return-on-investment it was to give money to Rove-controlled political operations in 2012.

More from NYM: “Inside Fox News, Morris’s Romney boosterism and reality-denying predictions became a punch line. At a rehearsal on the Saturday before the election, according to a source, anchor Megyn Kelly chuckled when she relayed to colleagues what someone had told her: ‘I really like Dick Morris. He’s always wrong but he makes me feel good.’”

Morris — who predicted a Romney “landslide”— was SO wrong that even Fox’s own Bill O’Reilly ripped him.

“The problem was,” O’Reilly said, ripping Morris on the day after the numbers were in, “he was analyzing Uruguay.” BillOooooooooooooooooo!

Choosing the most flat-out-wrong Dick Morris prediction is like choosing your favorite child. But our favorite remains the TITLE of his 2005 book predicting the 2008 prez matchup: “Condi versus Hillary. The Next Great Presidential Race.”

Or, as Jon Stewart calls Morris, “The King of Wrong Mountain:”

And once more just because it was such compelling live television, Rove’s election night meltdown:

Giving $ to Karl Rove: A terrible return-on-investment

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Fiscal conservatives, listen up: If you invested money in a political campaign in this cycle, one of the WORST people to give it to was Karl Rove. His return-on-investment — i.e. achieving the desired electoral result: 1 percent.

One. Percent. ….of the $103 miiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiilllion Rove’s American Crossroads super PAC rained on the various campaigns it supported and opposed, according to
the nonpartisan money-and-politics analysts at the Sunlight Foundation.

No wonder the dude was trying to deny reality on Fox News on Election Night. With that kind of ROI, folks who gave to Rove’s American Crossroads may start calling him the same thing former Prez George W. Bush did: “Turd-Blossom.”

Sunlight calculated its batting averages this way: A group’s winning percentage “reflects how much of their money went to support candidates who won and to oppose candidates who lost in the general election campaign.”

So by that measure the best ROI was the Service Employees International Union. The union scored wins on 84 percent of $15 million it spent.

This is going to be earth-shattering for conservatives. Many trusted Rove. As California Republican strategist Tom Ross told us back in April, donors would rather invest in a super PAC run by Rove because “They trust a Karl Rove to make the right decisions for them more than they might someone else.”

But T.B. Rove wasn’t the worst ROI. That dubious title belongs to the National Rifle Association. Their ROI: Zero. OK, it was .81. Virtual bupkis for the $10 million it spent.

Another big loser: The conservative-friendly U.S. Chamber of Commerce. ROI was 6.9 percent of $32 milllllllllllllllllllllllllllllliion spent.

Or, as Donald Trump tweeted: “Congrats to @KarlRove on blowing $400 million this cycle. Every race @CrossroadsGPS ran ads in, the Republicans lost. What a waste of money.”

Here are the organizations with the best ROI:

1. SEIU: 84 percent of $15,202,306.
2. SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION): 70 percent of $14,318,192 spent.
3. MAJORITY PAC 69 percent of $34,359,657 spent.
4. WOMEN VOTE! 69% of $6,072,693 spent.

The organizations with the worst ROI:
1. NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND: 0 percent of $10,955,688 spent.
2.AMERICAN CROSSROADS: 1 percent of $103,559,672. (However, Rove’s Crossroads GPS had a 13 percent ROI)
3. US CHAMBER OF COMMERCE: 5 percent of $31,937,037 spent.
4. AMERICAN FUTURE FUND: 5 percent of $23,613,532 spent.

What did Rove do with all that cash? For starters he spent $127 million on more than 82,000 TV ads for Mitt Romney, according to Kantar Media’s CMAG, which tracks advertising.

Rove says that President Obama won because he was “suppressing the vote” – i.e. Romney’s vote — with negative ads. Again, Karl seems to be working with a set of fact not based in this universe.

According to this, Obama spent $396 million of Obama’s ads, 85 percent were negative. Romney spent $472 million on ads, 91 percent of were negative.

It is time for Rove to quit — while he’s behind. Then again, he may have lost, he got paid. But because of the lack of transparency of the process, we may never know HOW MUCH Rove pocketed while his clients lost.