Births to increase in 2014


A new report from fertility forecasting provider Demographic Intelligence found that the U.S. birthrate is expected to increase in 2014 after years of decline:

For the first time since the Great Recession, births are trending upwards in 2014, according to the April edition of the U.S. Fertility ForecastTM from Demographic Intelligence. Driven by improvements in the economic climate, births will rise in 2014 from a fifteen-year low of 3.94 million in 2013. The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in the U.S. is also predicted to rise from a 25-year low of 1.87 children per woman in 2013 to 1.89 in 2014 (it was 2.12 per children per woman in 2007). Births among better-educated and older women are driving the rebound.

“The post-recession birth decline is finally over,” said Sam Sturgeon, Ph.D., president of Demographic Intelligence (DI). “The birth recovery has begun and—as with so many family trends—we are seeing the birth recovery take hold only among better-educated, more affluent, and older women. These women have been most insulated from the fallout of the Great Recession and now are benefiting the most from the recovery—and they are having more babies.”

By contrast, births have fallen markedly among less-educated, younger (including teen) mothers, and unmarried women. “Young adults and less-educated adults have been hit particularly hard by the fallout of the Great Recession,” said Sturgeon. “This is why fertility has fallen precipitously among the most vulnerable women in our society. Indeed, one reason that the rate of nonmarital childbearing has fallen since 2007 is that younger and less educated women are having fewer children.”

Fairfield County is no stranger to older mothers, as we reported last Mother’s Day. Check out local towns where you’re most likely to find mothers over the age of 35 having children:

Maggie Gordon