Monday night into Tuesday could be very wet as the remnants of Tropical Storm Karen sweep through southwestern Connecticut.
The National Hurricane Center in Miami said Saturday afternoon that Karen hadn’t moved for a few hours. It had maximum sustained winds of 40 mph, making it a weak tropical storm. Forecasters expect it to resume its northerly track and be near or over portions of southeastern Louisiana on Saturday night and Sunday. It could speed up into Sunday and is likely to pass near the coasts of Mississippi and Alabama that day, according to the Associated Press.
There is a detailed discussion from the National Weather Service of what’s expected to happen here.
It’s a little wonkish in weather speak … “A dynamic storm system will be approaching … a large closed low will be moving across the Ohio Valley/Eastern Great Lakes with a strong cold front at the surface ahead of this boundary. A strong southerly low level jet will transport plenty of moisture/some of which was associated with the remains of TC Karen, which will have been absorbed into the frontal zone across the southeast towards the region.”
Sounds like it’s going rain.
Here’s the easier to understand forecast:
Today: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. East wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph.
Sunday: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. East wind 7 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. East wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. South wind 7 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night: A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2pm, then a chance of showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
A National Hurricane Center discussion on Tropical Storm Karen is here.