Archive for October, 2009
October 25, 2009 at 1:40 pm by Ian Collier
These past three days have been torture. No question. For those of us that live and die with each Yankee victory or defeat, a crushing postseason loss followed by an off-day followed by a rainout followed by another day of waiting can seem cruel and unusual. I’ve found myself constantly plagued by harrowing visions of another early October exit, imagining all the ways this season that looked so promising on Tuesday night could be quickly and violently ended with two more losses.
When CC Sabathia finished his utter domination of the Angels on Tuesday night, the Yankees held firmly to a 3-1 series lead and the banter officially began between Yankees and Phillies fans, supporters of the two teams that seemed destined to collide on baseball’s biggest stage.
Then Thursday night happened.
Trailing 4-0 in the 7th inning to a heretofore dominant John Lackey, the Yankees loaded the bases with 2 outs. Mike Scioscia improbably and inadvisedly went to his bullpen and the Yanks responded by putting 6 two-out runs on the board. The fans went silent. The Angels looked defeated. They weren’t.
They went to work in the bottom half of the inning against AJ Burnett, who remained in the game for reasons that continue to defy logic, and eventually against Damaso Marte and Phil Hughes, scoring 3 runs and taking a 7-6 lead they would not relinquish despite another shaky 9th inning from their closer in name only, Brian Fuentes.
Now, this is where we stand: a 3-2 series lead, with games 6 and 7 to be played at home, and our two most reliable starters, Andy Pettitte and CC Sabathia, rested and ready to take the ball.
So why doesn’t this feel like it should? Why are the silver linings so hard to find? We, as Yankees fans, find ourselves in a position that fans of 14 other American League teams would love to be in. Can you imagine the elation of a Kansas City Royals fan, waking as if from a long and disturbing nightmare to find his team one win away from competing in the World Series? They lost 98 games in Baltimore and there’s no end in sight – you think those long-suffering fans wouldn’t kill for the opportunity to be up 3 to 2 in the ALCS, with 2 games upcoming in Camden Yards?
Still, it’s different for the Yankees. It’s different for their fans. When people make this claim, it often comes across as self-centered, arrogant, obnoxious entitlement. Of course it’s different, those that delight in Yankee pain will counter – you root for a team that spends $200 million on the best and the brightest and goes into each season with high hopes of running another pennant atop their brand new, $1.5 billion, state-of-the-art facility. That is different.
It’s different in other ways, too.
I don’t expect any non-Yankee fans to quite understand this, but because of the burden of expectation, because of the media scrutiny, because of the money and the notoriety and the recent history of crushing, abject pain and misery, the Yankees are often quite miserable to watch. Because victory is not a possibility but an expected outcome, it often lacks joy. When the Yankees roll into Cleveland in mid-August and take 3 straight games, it’s because that’s what they should have done. If they take 2 of 3, they’ve missed an opportunity. If they lose 2 of 3, they’re struggling and changes should be made. If they lose all three, it’s a miserable failure on par with taking a shotgun to a barrel and managing to miss the fish.
Does that sound fun?
It can be. It can be a ton of fun when they’re winning every series, beating the teams they need to, getting solid starting pitching and timely hitting, and winning 103 games. That’s what this 2009 season was in a nutshell – a ton of fun. With a few brief and minor exceptions, the Yankees played well all season and had their division essentially locked up in August. Winning is fun.
I can compare this to my experience with rooting for one truly awful team: the New York Islanders. I’ve been a lifelong fan – not with the fervor and the passion that I follow the Yankees, but close enough that I attend several games a year, I watch the games on television all winter, and I’m always (painfully) aware of where they stand in the league.
Once upon a time, the Islanders were a model franchise. They had a crazy passionate fanbase, sellouts, star players, a dynasty that won 4 consecutive Stanley Cups. Then I was born. One year after the Islanders won their 4th, I wandered into this world. Ever since then, it’s been a seemingly endless series of pratfalls, historically bad teams, logos that look like advertisements for fish sticks, and comically unprepared players. Yet, I continue to watch because I love hockey and I love the Islanders. It’s as simple as that. Once in a while comes the rare season where, despite a lack of knock-you-down talent, the Islanders put together a thrilling season and find themselves in the playoffs (usually as the 8th seed). The sheer joy I get from those seasons is almost unmatched. I watch those series, in which they are usually saddled with the joyless task of taking on the top seed, with a sort of pleased detachment. It’s surreal for me to see the Islanders in nationally televised games, to see the Coliseum packed to the rafters and loud as hell instead of empty, ugly, dreary, depressing.
It’s because the Islanders do not bear the burden of expectation.
If anything, they’re expected to lose every game. That’s the attitude I assume from October to April, so when I turn on an Isles/Penguins tilt on a lazy Sunday afternoon and my hometown team takes it to the defending champions, for one day I feel like we’ve won a Stanley Cup.
Not so much for the Yankees. They have hurt me deeply. The 2004 season is one that I will never forget. Any mention of it stings, and stings deep. That season brought me to tears, made me violently unhappy, caused a deep depression that lasted for over a year and in many ways is still there. When FOX runs that Dave Roberts stolen base, as they are wont to do on seemingly every telecast, I leave the room. If I come across an article referencing that season, I skip ahead or move on. My Red Sox fan friends, of which I have many, are generally respectful enough not to mention it to me. I’ve never actually written anything about it, and doing so now is a deeply uncomfortable experience.
Which brings us to 2009, a different, much happier time. We are back where we want to be – one victory away from the World Series, dominant starting pitching from our ace putting us on the brink. So why is it so difficult for me to embrace this team at this moment? It’s akin to walking into an animal shelter; you tell yourself over and over, “I will not get emotionally attached to these animals.” Their impending death is too much to think about. Don’t fall in love. You’ll only get hurt.
I think about the hurt I felt in 2004 and I never want to be in that place again. But finally, I feel different. Maybe the rain-out gave me an extra, needed day away from the nerves and the sick-to-my-stomach feeling. But I have had so much fun watching this team all season, writing about them, podcasting about them with a friend as passionate as I am. Everything that failed them in previous seasons worked with an astounding level of success this year. Big money free agent stars earned their paychecks and then some. Wild cards like Nick Swisher played above and beyond expectation, the Gardner/Cabrera tandem was a moderate success, Phil Hughes moved to the bullpen and dominated. Everything clicked. They did stuff like this, this, and this. They were a lovable bunch.
So why not now? This is a wonderful baseball team. It may have taken me until now to realize it, but that’s what they are – a wonderful team of talented players, competing in 2 crucial games with their best starters on the mound and in front of an adoring home crowd at a stadium in which they went an ML best 57-24. If they fail – which they may – it won’t be because they aren’t great, and it won’t diminish their myriad accomplishments in 2009. This is still a team to be proud of, a team to have fun watching. I’m gonna give that a shot tonight.
I’m going to stop pinning my hopes for personal happiness on the Yankees pursuit of a world championship. Maybe this will be a burden off their shoulders as they take the field tonight.
Now let’s see if this feeling carries over to 8:20 pm EST. Until then, Stay Positive, Yankees fans.
October 23, 2009 at 2:26 pm by Scott Ham
Thoughts about the game while I try to stop my head from sadly shaking:
◊ Last night once again encapsulated AJ Burnett as a pitcher. Burnett came out in the bottom of the first and stunk up the joint, allowing four runs before an out was recorded. A long flyout and double play later, AJ gets out of the inning and puts up zeros for the next five. Burnett gave up five hits and two walks over that scoreless five innings, complimented by a wild pitch. When Yankee fans talk about mystique and aura, they may be referring to Burnett’s control.
◊ Despite that five inning stretch and 80 pitch count, the bullpen should have been humming when AJ took the mound in the bottom of the seventh. Instead, Girardi waited for Burnett to give up a single and a walk before bringing in Marte. I can understand letting AJ start the seventh, although I probably wouldn’t have done it. It was a minor miracle that AJ made it that far with the lead. There was little reason for Girardi not to mix and match his bullpen to try and maintain the lead.
This is where Girardi is at his most confusing. In a tie game, such as game three, Girardi will mix and match his bullpen until he finds a reliever that can stabilize the game. In game two, it happened to be Hughes after Joba, Marte, and Coke all got a shot.
In game five, the bullpen wasn’t prepared for a reliever, or even Burnett, to fail. Hughes was left out there for the entirety of the inning without a good fastball, appearing to shake Posada off three times before surrendering a game tying single to Vlad on… a fastball.
The formula, or at least our understanding of the formula, was to get to the seventh inning and have the bullpen shut the door. You can’t judge the moves in this inning by what happened. It’s easy to say now that it’s a good thing Joba didn’t come in because he was ineffective in the eighth. That’s applying results to a probability question.
Girardi would have been better off with Joba or Hughes starting the inning with Marte or Coke and another right-hander in the pen. If you’re willing to mix and match in the midst of en extra inning tie game, there’s little reason not to do it with a two run lead in the seventh. If the pitcher that starts the inning is effective, you can sit the guys in the pen. Otherwise, you’re at least ready to mix and match and try to put out some fires.
Instead, they started the inning with two runners on quickly, both of whom scored, and Hughes was left out there with less than his best stuff to give up the lead. Mariano could have gone more than an inning, so all you had to do was get through the seventh with the lead in tact.
And, considering David Robertson’s success in high leverage situations these playoffs (and Joba’s lack of success), why wasn’t he anywhere near the seventh or eighth innings? Girardi likes to call it a bullpen by committee, but those are just words. The pitchers were supposed to fill their roles last night, whether effective or not, and it didn’t work.
◊ It’s pretty easy to jump on Nick Swisher at this point. The guy has looked like a lost puppy at the plate. I will give Girardi credit for this quote after the game about Swish:
“Guys are going to struggle during the course of the season and you just don’t give up on a guy if he is struggling because the flip side of that is they are due to get hot. We feel good about Swish.”
That’s a reasonable approach. Nobody has been calling for Teixeira’s head and he went 2 for 5 with 3 RBI last night. Swisher ain’t Teixeira but he’s also not batting third. If he gets his walks like he’s capable of and a few hits, he’ll be fine. The alternative is Brett Gardner who has trouble getting the ball out of the infield.
(H/T to Rob Neyer for the quote)
◊ Pinch running for ARod in the bottom of the ninth was almost as laughable as pulling Damon in the bottom of the 10th in game three and losing the DH. Girardi was hedging a bet that Guzman’s possible extra little bit of speed would be the difference if Matsui hit a ball in the gap.
Of course, Matsui didn’t hit a ball into the gap. He walked, pushing Guzman to second. Then Cano was plunked, pushing Guzman to third. And suddenly, with two outs, speed wasn’t an issue. If Swisher had actually walked and the game continued into extra innings (again), the Yankee lineup would have looked pretty fearsome with Jerry Hairston, Jr. batting cleanup.
Girardi’s reasoning is that you do everything you can to tie the game at that point. And I agree with that logic when applied properly. You should also do everything you can to win a game in late innings but that hasn’t had much of an effect on Girardi’s illogical bullpen decisions.
The difference in speed between Guzman and ARod is probably negligible at this point. ARod seems to be pretty healthy on his hip, to the point where the proposed followup surgery may not be necessary anymore. He’s certainly done his share of running at this stage.
Matsui had 21 doubles and 1 triple in 526 plate appearances this year. That means there was a 4% chance of Matsui hitting a double or triple into the gap (for his career it is a 5.4 % chance.) Matsui also has 28 home runs this year which obviously outnumber his doubles and triples.
◊ Melky Cabrera is actually heating up a bit and Robinson Cano got a rare two out hit with runners in scoring position. It goes without saying that when the bottom of the order is hitting well, it’s a lot easier to win games.
◊ There was some debate on Twitter last night after the game about CC’s next start. The forecast calls for rain on Saturday in New York, which could possibly push game six back to Sunday. That would mean Sabathia, currently scheduled for a possible game 7, could pitch game six on full rest.
I doesn’t make any sense, however. Pettitte is capable of pitching an effective game 6 and if the Yankees win, CC would be available for game one of the World Series. If CC were to lose game 6, Pettitte would still be needed for game 7. Either way, one of those two guys has to step up. I think we all can agree that if it comes down to one game to continue the season, CC Sabathia should be on the mound.
◊ Both Hughes and Joba are struggling in the postseason. With Joba, it’s somewhat expected at this point. He’s looked decent at times, as has Hughes, but for the most part Joba is the same confusing pitcher he has been for most of the season.
Hughes, though, has been somewhat of a mystery. He was averaging almost 96 MPH on his fastball last night, which is about what he was throwing in game three. The pitch wasn’t breaking, though, much less than game three and the Angels were sitting on it. His curve remained sharp, but for some reason he and Posada didn’t throw it again to Vlad despite how bad Guerrero looked on the pitch.
One has to wonder if the workload of this season has caught up to Hughes. He isn’t grossly past his previous totals but he is coming off a shortened 2008 season. Hughes has never worked in a relief role before which usually means throwing harder over less innings than a starting pitcher. Relief pitching is a volatile trade, evidenced by the lack of consistency most relievers experience from season to season. It may be that the extra exertion Hughes has applied coming out of the pen has started to wear him down a bit.
Girardi might be better off keeping Hughes to one inning outings through the rest of the playoffs. When Girardi replaced Marte with Coke in the bottom of the eighth in game three, his reasoning was that he didn’t want Marte warming up twice given his injury over the summer. In that same game, Hughes warmed up three times. Should that be a big deal? Probably not as his workload hasn’t been that tough over the last week.
When you see his fastball flatten out like it did last night, you start to wonder, though. Hughes faced eight batters across three innings in game three. Since Hughes became a reliever at the beginning of June, he has averaged 4.4 batters per appearance and only once did it extend over more than two innings. That was June 10th against the Red Sox, when Hughes was still stretched out to be a starter.
It’s the playoffs and all hands are on deck. That’s fine as long as Girardi is paying attention. He’s shifted the workload for his second most valuable reliever and the results may not be the same.
◊ Finally, if you haven’t stopped by our live chats during the game, come on by. It’s been a lot of fun. Last night, ESPN’s Rob Neyer graciously stopped in to take a few questions from the crowd during the game. We’ll be doing it (hopefully) every game the Yankees play in the postseason and are hoping to get a few more guests.
October 22, 2009 at 7:45 pm by Scott Ham
October 20, 2009 at 7:45 pm by Scott Ham
October 20, 2009 at 10:41 am by Scott Ham
Tempting as it was, I resisted the urge to scrawl a profanity-laden diatribe against Micro Joe Girardi following last night’s 5-4 loss to the Los Angeles California Angels of Anaheim California. My reasoning? One shouldn’t make rash decisions in the heat of battle.
If only Micro Joe had followed that line of thinking.
There’s many reasons the Yankees lost last night’s ALCS game 3; lack of hitting (or even sacrifice flying) with runners in scoring position is a start. Despite holding a 5-1 record in the playoffs so far, the Yankee offense has spent the last two weeks on the golf course. If not for the pitching, this would be a very frustrating harvest season for the Bombers.
You expect offenses to be a little slower in the postseason. The level of pitching is usually a bit better because you’re facing the best teams in the league. The tension level is raised because you’re on baseball’s biggest stage. Every run has greater meaning.
Even with all that, it’s still not what lost the game last night.
No, last night, the blame falls squarely on Micro Joe Girardi.
I’ve been complaining about Girardi’s use of the bullpen for most of the year. This summer, when the Yankees started to pull away from the pack in the AL East, the media began to gush over what an incredible job Girardi had done. It was really quite frightening to see so many people rally for a manager who:
- Refused to carry a long reliever despite Chien-Ming Wang blowing up every five days at the start of the season.
- Treated Alfredo Aceves like a short reliever despite beginning the season as a starter.
- Started Aceves four days after throwing 43 pitches in four innings, allowing him to struggle through 3.1 innings and 65 pitches. Shortly after, Aceves complained of a tired arm. (duh)
- Kept Phil Hughes inning count so low that it was impossible to keep him in the sixth starter role, a hole eventually filled by Sergio Mitre and Chad Gaudin.
- Didn’t limit Joba’s innings in the beginning of the season. Girardi was less than careful because of a depleted bullpen (long reliever… anyone?) and because of his negligence, was forced to alter the Joba Rules three times from July through September, all for the purpose of preparing Joba for the postseason… as a reliever.
- Was excluded from a Yankee brass conference call to discuss the prescribed rest needed by Alex Rodriguez, who was coming off of hip surgery. ARod was supposed to get a day off every couple of weeks but only missed three games from May 8th through August 12th, a span of 85 games.
Let’s just say I’m not surprised at the level of ineptitude Girardi reached last night.
First, let’s discuss what Girardi did right:
- Joe let Hughes pitch across three innings, entering in the bottom of the eighth to strike out Hunter and force Vlad to ground out. Phil then pitched a perfect ninth before giving up a double to Mathis to lead off the 10th.
- At that point, Girardi’s other good move happened when he brought in Mariano Rivera. It seems like a simple decision, but Girardi could have brought in Rivera to start the inning or worse, to start the bottom of the ninth where Hughes had set down three in a row. Girardi wisely held on to Rivera until he was needed and Rivera came through, working through three outs with runners in scoring position without surrendering the winning run.
That’s it. Those were Girardi’s good moves. Here comes the bad. You might want to get a drink or hit the head before you tackle this list because we’re going to be here for awhile…
- The first bad decision came before the series started, when Girardi decided to carry a third catcher and two pinch runners. It’s becoming obvious that Brett Gardner only roles on this team are pinch runner and late inning defense since Joe hasn’t started him in the outfield once. That makes the presence of Freddy Guzman on this roster all the more confusing. Guzman brings nothing to the table except the ability to run, while Cervelli brings nothing to the table except the ability to catch. Between the two of them, at least one roster spot has been wasted, a fact made all the more obvious when Girardi was forced to pinch hit Cervelli last night instead of a player who can actually hit, like maybe Eric Hinske, who was left off the postseason roster. This became relevant because-
- Girardi gave up the DH in the bottom of the 10th. With the game tied, Torii Hunter came to the plate with one out and the bases loaded to face Mariano Rivera. And thus was born one of the greatest panic moves in baseball history. Fearing a sacrifice fly to the weak armed Johnny Damon in left, Girardi pulled Damon from the field mid-inning and replaced him with… the DH Jerry Hairston, Jr, thereby losing the DH. Hairston isn’t exactly chopped liver in the outfield, although I doubt many would confuse his throwing arm for Vlad Guerrero’s. The bigger issue centered on the fact that the DH was due up for the Yankees in the top of the 11th should they get out of the inning. Rivera did get out of the inning and when Rivera’s spot in the lineup came up with two outs and nobody on, rather than let Rivera stare at three fastballs, grab his mitt and pitch another inning, Girardi pulled his best pitcher from an extra inning game after one inning to pinch hit a weak hitting backup catcher with 106 major league plate appearances.
- The problems started even earlier than that. In the bottom of the sixth, Pettitte’s pitch count started getting into the high 80s and Girardi began to warm Joba Chamberlain in the pen. Pettitte had given up a home run the previous inning to Kendrick and was facing Vlad Guerrero with two outs and Bobby Abreu at first. Pettitte had pitched well but wasn’t fooling many batters and spent most of the game in battle with the Angels running game. It was obvious that Pettitte wouldn’t be pitching much longer, leaving little reason to keep the left-handed Pettitte in against the right-handed Guerrero, especially with Joba warming in the pen. Well, Joba stayed in the pen, Pettitte stayed in the game, and Guerrero left the park, tying the game at 3-3.
- Pettitte started the 7th to get the left-handed Kendry Morales and then was lifted for Joba. Joba promptly gave up a triple and a sac fly to give the Angels the lead, followed by a double by Aybar. Fine. Bad pitching but not Girardi’s fault. Girardi then pulls Joba to bring in lefty Damaso Marte to force Chone Figgins to bat from the right side and gets the fly-out to end the inning. When the Angels come to bat in the bottom of the 8th, Girardi inexplicably pulls lefty Marte for lefty Phil Coke to face left-handed Bobby Abreu. Why? Who knows? It was a waste of a pitcher as Coke only faced Abreu, who laced a double to center and stupidly got caught between second and third, saving the Yankees bacon. At this point, Phil Hughes came in and the events of numbers 1 and 2 transpired.
- Let’s go to the bottom of the 11th, shall we? Rivera has been pulled from the game so that a AA catcher can pinch hit with two outs, so Girardi is forced to go to the bullpen. He brings in David Robertson, the hero of game 2 of the ALDS. In that game, Robertson entered the top of the 11th with runners on first and second and no one out. Four batters later, he had escaped the inning without allowing a run and Mark Teixeira won it with a walk-off homer in the bottom of the inning. Robertson started the bottom of the 11th of this game by getting Juan Rivera to ground out weakly to short and Kendy Morales to pop out to left field. So far, so good… until Girardi removes the right-handed Robertson, so effective to this point, for the right-handed Aceves. Why? Who knows? Matchups? Kendrick singles, Mathis doubles to deep center, ball game over.
Let’s tally up the pitchers innings here, shall we?
A Pettitte 6.1
J Chamberlain 0.1
D Marte 0.1
P Coke 0.1
P Hughes 1.2
M Rivera 1
D Robertson 0.2
A Aceves, L (0-1) 0
Joba was ineffective so we’ll give Joe a pass on that. Otherwise, Marte, Coke, Rivera and Robertson combined for a total of 2.1 innings, less than 2 outs per pitcher. Two of those pitchers, Rivera and Robertson, have been Girardi’s most effective relievers so far in the postseason, yet he limited their innings and removed them for nonsensical reasons.
In Rivera’s case, it was so a terrible hitter could try and extend an inning with two outs. Granted, Teixeira and ARod were batting behind Cervelli, but the likelihood of Cervelli getting on-base compared to the value of Rivera keeping the game tied the next inning is not close to equal.
All of the DH mechanizations came into play because Girardi has insisted on pinch running for Hideki Matsui in late innings. Matsui can’t run for squat so it’s difficult to argue with the logic. However, in this game as it also happened in game two of the ALDS and of the ALCS, the pinch runners didn’t score, leaving the Yankees with a bad hitter in the number five position of the batting order. That wouldn’t be such a big deal if Eric Hinske was available to pinch hit the next time up for the DH because, at the very least, he can hit the ball hard on occasion. Instead, we have a third string catcher, a utility player, and Freddy Guzman on the bench, all ready, willing, and unable to bat effectively behind Alex Rodriguez. The heart of the Yankee order quickly falls apart when you have Hairston, Posada, Swisher, and Melky lined up. Or, as in game two of the ALCS, Hairston, Gardner, Cano, and Melky. It’s a miracle the Yankees won game two with all the shuffling pieces.
Pete Abe predicted it and a few others as well: eventually, Joe Girardi’s micromanaging would cost the Yankees a postseason game. One would hope it would have been just one move that backfired. In this case, it’s probably the sum total of many moves dating back to the building of this postseason roster that brought about the loss of this game.
I went into game three expecting a fight, unsure of what Pettitte was going to bring and which Jered Weaver would show up. Pettitte kept the Yankees close enough to win which is all you can ask when they visit Anaheim. Unfortunately, the Yankee manager did everything he could to try and outthink the game of baseball.
It made for a frustrating evening, watching a manager that’s too arrogant to be smart, ruin a winnable game. Welcome to Micro Joe Baseball. It ain’t Billy Ball, that’s for sure.
October 17, 2009 at 7:45 pm by Scott Ham
October 16, 2009 at 7:45 pm by Scott Ham
October 16, 2009 at 10:52 am by Scott Ham
Here we are, only October 16th, and already the weather is playing a significant factor in baseball’s playoffs schedule.
If you’re in the Tri-State/New England area and haven’t peeked out your window yet, go take a look. Then ask yourself, would I want to play baseball in this? Would I want to watch baseball in this?
Probably not. But weather, decent playing conditions, fans comfort, these are of little concern to The Commish Bud Selig and the people at FOX Sports.
FOX has created an ironclad schedule that maneuvers around their football schedule like Leon Washington. That makes sense for FOX since they have taken on two major sporting commitments that happen to take place in the same month.
The problem lies in the scheduling conflict it creates for baseball. Baseball has no flexibility to adapt to what’s happening weather-wise or within their own series.
The Yankees and the Angels both wrapped up their Division Series sweeps on Sunday. Five days later and their ALCS hasn’t started yet. Five days. The earliest the World Series could end is November 1st and we have two teams waiting five days to start a series?
The Dodgers finished last Saturday, the Phillies on Monday. It still took until Thursday to start their series.
There are some benefits to the teams with this schedule. It allows both teams to setup their pitching the way they want, with their aces having plenty of off-days to start game one on full rest. That’s a nice by-product of the process but it’s not the reason the schedule was setup this way. We know this because there are only three days between the end of the NLCS and the World Series and two days between the ALCS and the World Series.
If the Yankees and Angels go to a game 7 and CC Sabathia is pitching as Joe Girardi seems to be planning, he would not be available for game 1 of the World Series and could only start game two on three days rest.
Would it be fair to both teams to start the ALCS and NLCS two days after the final Division Series games? Why not? It can’t be any less fair than determining home field advantage for the World Series in a July exhibition game. If a team manages to end their Division Series early, they deserve to have their pitching lined up better. To the victor’s go the spoils. It would also allow Major League Baseball to keep the travel days as off-days, rather than using the travel day to makeup a rainout.
What doesn’t make sense is determining these things based on a network like FOX that is more concerned about their football commitments than they are about postseason baseball.
Consider November 1st, scheduled to be game four of the World Series. Before the Phillies and Dodgers even started the NLCS, the NFL (and by association, FOX Television) announced that the Eagles-Giants game scheduled for 4PM in Philadelphia that day had been moved up to 1PM to accommodate a possible World Series game in Philly that evening.
Apparently, the football stadium and the baseball stadium share parking facilities, although most people from Philly will tell you that concerts and sporting events have coincided without much issue. It also stands to reason that the money-makers who created the new ballpark were not going to lock themselves out of revenue by not having parking available.
Here’s the rub, though: by pushing the Giants and Eagles back to 1PM and right up against the Jets-Dolphins game, FOX has four games scheduled in the 1PM time slot nationally. To make room for the Eagles, the NFL moved the Viking-Packers game to 4PM on FOX, where only one other national game is scheduled.
Why is that significant? Brett Favre has been a ratings king this season:
Brett Favre last night became the first NFL quarterback to vanquish each of the league’s 32 teams, but it was ESPN’s ratings performance that had advertisers buzzing.
The Oct. 5 installment of Monday Night Football now stands as the most-watched telecast in cable TV history, drawing 21.8 million total viewers, per Nielsen live-plus-same-day ratings estimates. Demo deliveries are pending.
The 39-year-old Favre led the Minnesota Vikings to a 30-23 victory over the Green Bay Packers, establishing bragging rights over the NFC North and knocking off the previous all-time cable ratings record. ESPN set the high-water mark a year ago, when 18.6 million fans tuned in for its presentation of the Sept. 15 Eagles-Cowboys showdown.
Since the season began, ESPN’s Monday Night Football coverage is averaging 15.6 million total viewers.
What do you think the ratings will be the second time Favre plays the Packers? In Green Bay, no less?
By moving the Packers to 4PM, FOX eliminated two regional games from their national coverage, meaning the Packers-Vikings will be reaching an audience possibly three times the size of the 1PM games. That means more money for advertising time. Not only do New Yorkers once again have to pick between the Giants and the Jets at 1PM as they did in week 3, but the NFL gets an excuse to move a game based on a World Series who’s participants haven’t even been determined yet!
Oh, and that game four of the World Series won’t start until 8:20 PM rather than the usual 7:57 PM to accommodate Brett Favre’s homecoming ratings bonanza. Enjoy, kiddies who have school the next day!
MLB is as much to blame for these scenarios. They rightfully have chased the highest dollar they can get from the networks to broadcast their typically low-rated postseason series. One can’t help but wonder, though, how much better the ratings might be if the games didn’t end at midnight on a Sunday. Maybe MLB should look into getting a little bit more control of their own schedule and doing what’s right for baseball instead of a media monolith like FOX. Maybe ABC/ESPN could be a little more accommodating between their two networks.
Either way, once again, it’s the fans who come last. At least we’ll get lots of nice star sightings and previews for FOX’s prime time series. We’ll have that going for us. Which is nice…
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