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Boughton’s polling numbers are pathetic…and here’s why!

Cross post from HatCityBLOG


Four years of campaigning and this is the best he can do?

After four years of juvenile tweets and desperate attempts to raise his name recognition, part-time Mayor Mark Boughton’s numbers in the latest poll from Quinnipaic are laughable to say the least.

Lets see what the polling institute had to say about the city’s top dishonest elected official.

[Tom] Foley leads a Republican primary with 36 percent. His nearest competitor is Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton with 11 percent. No other candidate tops 6 percent and 35 percent of Republican voters remain undecided.

Coming in second to Tom Foley (a.k.a. the person Boughton has repeadedly ridiculed on Twitter) might sound good…until you dig further into the polling data.


1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Tom Foley, John McKinney, Mark Lauretti, Joseph Visconti, Toni Boucher, and Mark Boughton for whom would you vote?


                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Foley                36%    38%    34%
McKinney              3      4      3
Lauretti              6      6      5
Visconti              3      4      -
Boucher               2      1      2
Boughton             11     15      7
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      3
DK/NA                35     29     43
 

TREND: (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Tom Foley, John McKinney, Mark Lauretti, Joseph Visconti, Toni Boucher and Mark Boughton for whom would you vote?

                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Foley                36%    38%    34%
McKinney              3      4      3
Lauretti              6      6      5
Visconti              3      4      -
Boucher               2      1      2
Boughton             11     15      7
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      3
DK/NA                35     29     43
 
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     Mar 04  Jun 19
                     2014    2013
 
Foley                36      36
McKinney              3      11
Lauretti              6      na
Visconti              3      na
Boucher               2      na
Boughton             11       8
Cafero               na       4
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       4
DK/NA                35      37

Although Boughton has been running for governor for FOUR YEARS, the fact that he’s only been able to increase his numbers by three points is pathetic given that the margin of error in the poll among registered Republicans is 4.5 percent. In other words, when you factor in the margin of error, Boughton’s numbers are unchanged.

Wait wait! There’s more!

Although Boughton is polling better than all the other GOP candidates besides Foley, in a head to head match up against Malloy, Big Poppa is a big flop as his numbers are no better than any of the lower tier candidates in the GOP field.


3. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John McKinney the Republican and Dannel Malloy the Democrat, for whom would you vote?


                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
McKinney             37%    79%     6%    40%    42%    34%    24%    36%    44%    36%
Malloy               43     10     80     34     42     44     53     43     40     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      1      -      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      2      3      4      5      3      7      4      3      1
DK/NA                14      8     10     20     10     18     15     14     11     18
 
 

TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John McKinney the Republican and Dannel Malloy the Democrat, for whom would you vote?


                     Mar 04  Jun 19
                     2014    2013
 
McKinney             37      37
Malloy               43      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       3
DK/NA                14      15
 
 

4. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Boughton the Republican and Dannel Malloy the Democrat, for whom would you vote?



                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Boughton             35%    74%     5%    37%    39%    30%    20%    37%    38%    34%
Malloy               44     12     81     35     43     46     57     41     43     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      2      2      2      2      -      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      2      4      4      3      9      3      3      1
DK/NA                16     10     11     22     12     20     13     17     13     20

TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Boughton the Republican and Dannel Malloy the Democrat, for whom would you vote?



                     Mar 04  Jun 19
                     2014    2013
 
Boughton             35      36
Malloy               44      43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3
DK/NA                16      16

5. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Lauretti the Republican and Dannel Malloy the Democrat, for whom would you vote?



                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Lauretti             34%    75%     4%    36%    39%    30%    23%    36%    36%    33%
Malloy               44     10     81     36     43     46     55     41     43     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      2      2      2      -      3      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      3      4      4      3      7      3      4      1
DK/NA                16     12     11     22     12     20     15     17     15     19

6. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Joseph Visconti the Republican and Dannel Malloy the Democrat, for whom would you vote?


                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Visconti             34%    75%     4%    35%    38%    31%    25%    35%    37%    32%
Malloy               45     11     81     36     44     45     53     43     43     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      2      1      2      2      1      3      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      2      4      4      2      6      3      4      1
DK/NA                16     11     10     24     13     20     15     16     15     20

7. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Toni Boucher the Republican and Dannel Malloy the Democrat, for whom would you vote?


                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Boucher              34%    74%     5%    36%    39%    30%    21%    35%    38%    33%
Malloy               45     11     82     36     43     46     54     42     44     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2      2      2      2      -      2      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      3      5      5      3     10      4      3      1
DK/NA                15     11      9     22     12     19     14     17     12     19


As you can see, Boughton’s head to head numbers are no better than any of the other candiadtes in the GOP field…even the no name candidates who have done next to ZERO campaigning.

Oh, there’s more!

Boughton’s problem becomes more clear when you look at his favorable/unfavorable numbers…


11. Is your opinion of Mark Boughton favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?

                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            12%    24%     4%    13%    15%    11%    12%    12%    14%    12%
Unfavorable           4      1      7      3      5      3      4      4      5      3
Hvn't hrd enough     82     75     88     83     80     85     82     84     80     84
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
    

…and now the body blow.


TREND: Is your opinion of Mark Boughton favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?

                     Mar 04  Jun 19  Jan 21
                     2014    2013    2010
 
Favorable            12      11       7
Unfavorable           4       5       2
Hvn't hrd enough     82      84      90
REFUSED               1       -       1
    

According to the trend, althogh Boughton has done everything possible to raise his name ID in the last four year, his trend line is less than stellar…in fact, they are pathetic and at this point in the race, his quest for the GOP nominaiton is all but over.

I guess that dishonest “People over Politics” slogan wasn’t a hit with the public…and wait till the public learns more about the REAL Mark Boughton.