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Here’s the Tuesday Morning Results, a week before Election Day, courtesy of the QU Poll:
“Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, the Democratic candidate in the U.S. Senate race, leads Republican former wrestling executive Linda McMahon 54 – 42 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. |
| This is virtually unchanged from a 54 – 43 percent Blumenthal lead in an October 14 likely voter survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll. |
| In today’s survey, 3 percent are undecided and 6 percent of voters who name a candidate say they could change their mind by Election Day. Blumenthal leads 86 -12 percent among Democrats and 56 – 40 percent among independent voters while McMahon is ahead 85 – 10 percent among Republicans. |
| Women back Blumenthal 61 – 35 percent. Men split, with 49 percent for McMahon and 47 percent for Blumenthal. |
| “The vote for Connecticut governor and senator is solidifying. There has been little movement in either race in the last two weeks,” said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD. |
| “Linda McMahon has tried to raise Attorney General Richard Blumenthal’s negatives over the last several weeks, but she hasn’t been successful. He remains popular, but McMahon’s own negatives have risen above 50 percent. One has to wonder if over the last few weeks McMahon would have been better off spending more of her millions on positive ads.” |
| By a 55 – 39 percent margin, likely voters have a favorable opinion of Blumenthal. |
| McMahon gets a negative 43 – 51 percent favorability, down from a split 46 – 46 percent favorability October 14. |
| Governor’s Race |
| In the Connecticut governor’s race, Democrat Dan Malloy leads Republican Tom Foley 48 – 43 percent among likely voters. This compares to Malloy’s 49 – 42 percent lead October 15. |
| Another 7 percent are undecided and 11 percent of likely voters who name a candidate say they could change their mind in the next week. |
| In today’s results, Malloy leads 80 – 9 percent among Democrats while Foley takes Republicans 90 – 7 percent. Independent voters back Malloy 50 – 41 percent. |
| Men split with 46 percent for Foley and 45 percent for Malloy, while women back the Democrat 52 – 41 percent. |
| Malloy gets a 47 – 34 percent favorability from Connecticut likely voters, compared to Foley’s 45 – 33 percent favorability. |
| “Throughout the fall campaign Democrat Dan Malloy’s share of the vote has been between 45 and 50 percent, while Republican Tom Foley’s has been stuck between 41 and 43 percent,” Dr. Schwartz added. |
| “While both Democrats remain ahead, Blumenthal is in a stronger position than Malloy. Malloy has a slight lead while Blumenthal has a comfortable lead.” |
| From October 18 – 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 702 Connecticut likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points. |
| The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. |
| 1. If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Malloy or Foley? (This table includes Leaners) |
LIKELY VOTERS.........................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Malloy 48% 7% 80% 50% 45% 52%
Foley 43 90 9 41 46 41
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 4 1 3 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - -
DK/NA 7 3 8 8 6 8
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| TREND: If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided)If you had to choose today, would you vote for Malloy or Foley? (This table includes Leaners) |
LIKELY VOTERS.................
Oct 26 Oct 15 Sep 29 Sep 15
2010 2010 2010 2010
Malloy 48 49 45 50
Foley 43 42 42 41
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - -
DK/NA 7 7 12 8
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| 1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? |
LIKELY VOTERS........
CAND CHOICE Q1
Tot DM TF
Made up 89% 88% 89%
Might change 11 12 10
DK/NA 1 - 1
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| 2. Is your opinion of – Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him? |
LIKELY VOTERS.........................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 47% 19% 67% 49% 47% 46%
Unfavorable 34 61 15 32 38 31
Hvn't hrd enough 17 17 17 17 15 19
REFUSED 2 3 1 3 1 4
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| TREND: Is your opinion of – Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him? |
LIKELY VOTERS.................
Oct 26 Oct 15 Sep 29 Sep 15
2010 2010 2010 2010
Favorable 47 47 39 46
Unfavorable 34 29 27 21
Hvn't hrd enough 17 21 31 30
REFUSED 2 3 3 3
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| 3. Is your opinion of – Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him? |
LIKELY VOTERS.........................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 45% 82% 17% 43% 48% 40%
Unfavorable 33 8 55 31 32 35
Hvn't hrd enough 19 8 24 22 18 20
REFUSED 4 3 4 3 3 5
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| TREND: Is your opinion of – Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him? |
LIKELY VOTERS.................
Oct 26 Oct 15 Sep 29 Sep 15
2010 2010 2010 2010
Favorable 45 41 34 34
Unfavorable 33 33 25 24
Hvn't hrd enough 19 22 36 39
REFUSED 4 4 6 2
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| 4. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Richard Blumenthal the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Blumenthal or McMahon? (This table includes Leaners) |
LIKELY VOTERS.........................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Blumenthal 54% 10% 86% 56% 47% 61%
McMahon 42 85 12 40 49 35
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - -
DK/NA 3 5 1 4 3 4
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| TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Richard Blumenthal the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today would you vote for Blumenthal or McMahon? (This table includes Leaners) |
LIKELY VOTERS.................
Oct 26 Oct 14 Sep 28 Sep 14
2010 2010 2010 2010
Blumenthal 54 54 49 51
McMahon 42 43 46 45
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - -
DK/NA 3 3 4 3
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| 4a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? |
LIKELY VOTERS........
CAND CHOICE Q4
Tot RB LM
Made up 94% 94% 94%
Might change 6 6 6
DK/NA - - -
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| 5. Is your opinion of – Richard Blumenthal favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him? |
LIKELY VOTERS.........................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 55% 18% 83% 56% 52% 58%
Unfavorable 39 78 10 37 43 35
Hvn't hrd enough 5 3 8 4 4 6
REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 1
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| TREND: Is your opinion of Richard Blumenthal favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him? |
LIKELY VOTERS.................
Oct 26 Oct 14 Sep 28 Sep 14
2010 2010 2010 2010
Favorable 55 57 51 55
Unfavorable 39 38 41 39
Hvn't hrd enough 5 3 6 4
REFUSED 1 1 2 1
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| 6. Is your opinion of – Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about her? |
LIKELY VOTERS.........................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 43% 80% 15% 41% 51% 34%
Unfavorable 51 15 77 53 43 60
Hvn't hrd enough 6 4 8 5 6 6
REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1
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| TREND: Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about her? |
LIKELY VOTERS.................
Oct 26 Oct 14 Sep 28 Sep 14
2010 2010 2010 2010
Favorable 43 46 42 45
Unfavorable 51 46 43 41
Hvn't hrd enough 6 6 14 13
REFUSED 1 2 1 1
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