Hitting hard

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9 Responses

  1. Jeff says:
    March 5, 2012 at 5:43 pm

    Thanks Mike,

    Luv the numbers!!

  2. Michael Fornabaio says:
    March 5, 2012 at 1:42 pm

    Ehh, I hate making these blanket proclamations about stuff like that. At season-long pace, Hartford would finish with 89, Albany with 83; Bridgeport’s on pace for 92.

    If everyone plays to their current paces, seven teams besides Bridgeport are on pace for 80 or more, and Portland is at 78.6, so 79 theoretically is the target at this moment. That’s a little lower than usual; enough three-point games and that target’ll change.

    To wit, the eighth-place team in the Eastern Conference over the past few years, minus five percent (to account for the 76-game schedule instead of 80): Hartford 2011, 83.6; Bridgeport 2010, 81.7; Portland 2009, 83.6 (Worcester made the playoffs with less because of the division alignment); Manchester 2008, 83.6; Lowell 2007, 83.6 (Albany made it in 10th in the conference because of the divisions); Bridgeport 2006, 80.8; Providence 2005, 85.5; Portland 2004, 80.8.

    And just to be absurd: Right now 97 would absolutely mathematically clinch a playoff spot, even if everyone else involved won every game.

  3. Jeff says:
    March 5, 2012 at 11:58 am

    Now that the season in the home stretch, do you have a feeling what it’s going to take, in points, (a) to win the division and (b) to qualify for the playoffs. The schedule is home heavy (I believe 9 out of the last 11 games are home games). They have 68 points right now, and currently holds the tie breaker with the Whale with 2 games in hand.